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Responding to Market Failures in Tuberculosis ControlResponding to Market Failures in Tuberculosis Control
Rajesh Gupta, Jim Y. Kim, Marcos A. Espinal, Jean-Michel Caudron, Bernard Pecoul, Paul E. Farmer, Mario C. Raviglione
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Supplementary Material
Detailed Methodology for Decreasing the Cost of Second-Line Drugs
1) Perform a market analysis. The first step
was to identify all manufacturers of second-line drugs. The market
status of second-line drugs fell into three categories: monopoly status
as patent holder, monopoly status without a patent, and multiple
manufacturers. Identification of the market status for each drug
allowed the identification of distinct negotiation strategies. Four
drugs---capreomycin, cycloserine, ofloxacin/ciprofloxacin and
para-aminosalicylic acid (PAS)---comprised the greatest source of
expenditures for treatment regimens recommended for MDR-TB cases
resistant to two, four, and six drugs (Web fig. 1, A, B, and C,
respectively; and see Web table 1 and Fig. 1 in Science Express and in
print). All four were under monopoly production status, although only
one class of drugs---the fluoroquinolones
(ofloxacin/ciprofloxacin)---was, and still is, under patent protection
(in certain countries). Depending on the setting, single drugs may
contribute variable costs. For negotiations, it was key to determine
what drugs composed the majority of costs, as such prioritization led
to the greater price reductions. All manufacturers were screened for
quality assurance.
2) Unify the approach to the industry.
The second and paramount step was to unify all the individual efforts
to the industry under one negotiating body. In situations where
numerous negotiating bodies compete for the same products, prices are
often higher because multiple sources of demand compete for a limited
supply. Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) represented all potential buyers
associated with the Working Group, and, thus, was positioned to
negotiate lower prices as a single source of demand. Transfer/MSF is
the agent for the initial 2000 patients and the International
Dispensary Association (IDA) Foundation is designated to continue the
procurement beyond the initial 2000.
3) Establish a market.
The largest problem regarding price was lack of competition. The four
highest-priced drugs were under monopoly production status, and the
prices of the other drugs could still be lowered. Demonstrating the
existence of a market and introducing economies of scale were the next
steps in selecting negotiation strategies. Six categories of the most
important second-line drugs were submitted for inclusion on the WHO
Model List of Essential Drugs (EDL). Inclusion on the WHO EDL affords
local health authorities increased capacity to raise awareness of the
disease among government officials and facilitates in-country
registration of the drug (1). Also, the generic drug industry
often takes greater notice of EDL drugs as agents with a potential
global market. The six categories were placed under the "reserve
anti-infective agents" category to help ensure that they would be used
only under established programmatic guidelines (2).
The second procedure of demonstrating the existence of a market was to
quantify the global demand for second-line drugs. We identified two
quantifiable markets for the drugs. The first market consisted of the
identified countries and organizations making firm financial and
programmatic commitments to establishing pilot projects. This yielded
approximately 2000 patients (constituting over three million doses of
the various drugs) in total. The second market was a mix of the
estimated number of new cases globally with MDR-TB and the estimated
global consumption of second-line drugs by national tuberculosis public
health programs (NTPs) not yet involved in the DOTS-Plus initiative but
planning to become involved in the near future. New global estimates
from WHO indicate the number of new MDR-TB cases in 2000 was between
207,000 and 338,000 (3).
A recent WHO survey has also estimated the global consumption of each
second-line drug by NTPs from over 20 countries. This second market
remains a growing one because of the decreasing cost of second-line
drugs, thereby allowing more NTPs to have access to drugs they could
not previously afford, and because of the increasing number of
identified cases.
4) Select negotiation strategies.
For all drugs a direct negotiation strategy based upon a quantifiable
single source of demand for 2000 patients was utilized. Donations were
not considered, in order to provide a reference price and incentive for
new manufacturers to enter the market. In order to induce competition
in monopoly markets and to sustain the low prices achieved by direct
negotiations, the projections in demand were incorporated to serve as
basis for a "tiered-tender" approach. This approach does not grant the
entire tender contract to the company with the lowest-priced,
quality-assured product, but rather gives a large percentage (for
example, 50%) to the manufacturer with the lowest-priced,
quality-assured product, and a proportional percentage (for example, 20
to 30%) to a select number of the remaining manufacturer (or
manufacturers) with quality-assured product(s). If this tiered tender
is restricted to only manufacturers participating in the
quality-assurance process (i.e., having a prequalification scheme based
upon quality assurance), then the negotiating body can also guarantee
high-quality products. The result would be increased competition and
decreased prices (via economies of scale) coupled with high-quality
drugs. However, this approach is most effective when companies do not
engage in price collusion. By definition, this approach does not
immediately result in the absolute lowest price, but should yield lower
prices in the long term. Our experience to date has demonstrated
relatively minor differences in the absolute lowest price and the
prices generated by tiered-tendering (4).
5) Show advantages for the industry.
One of the challenges of the Working Group was to demonstrate to
industry members that participating in a pooled procurement process
would be advantageous for them. For one monopoly producer from the
research-based pharmaceutical industry, sales of second-line drugs
represented a very small proportion of total sales. For this company,
participation in the pooled procurement process represented an
opportunity to demonstrate its commitment to increasing access to
life-saving medications in developing countries. For one member of the
generic drug industry, collaboration with WHO represented an
opportunity for the company to be involved in a type of high-profile
partnership that had traditionally involved the research-based
pharmaceutical industry, permitting them to penetrate international
markets previously untouched. A second advantage presented to
manufacturers was the formation of a technical committee [known as the
Green Light Committee (GLC)] that would provide access to
concessionally priced drugs to those DOTS-Plus projects judged to be
technically sound. Supplying concessionally priced drugs to projects
validated by the GLC provided the industry and the public health
community with assurances that the drugs were being properly used, thus
minimizing the chance of generating further resistance. The industry
was asked only to sell these concessionally priced drugs to
GLC-approved projects and not on the open market. This would not only
prevent other poorly organized projects from benefiting from the
concessional prices, but it would also induce projects to comply with
appropriate scientific standards (again, minimizing the chance of
generating further resistance). Although the industry could not be
bound to this agreement, WHO strongly encouraged compliance, because
random use of second-line drugs could lead to an increase of "super
MDR-TB" (MDR-TB also resistant to second-line drugs). In addition,
resistance to second-line drugs in a given area also eliminates the
utility of those drugs, thereby eliminating the market for the drugs. A
third advantage for the industry was the offer, in some cases, to help
facilitate registration of drugs, including waivers of possible tariffs
and duties. The fourth advantage (primarily for the research-based
industry) was that single-source demand allowed for industry to adjust
manufacturing facilities and production capacity for scheduled
long-term production, rather than having to respond to irregular,
sporadic requests (which leads to higher prices).
Web table 2 reflects the present pricing structure of the second-line
drugs in multiple countries. Overall, high-income countries are paying
(on average) higher unit costs for most second-line drugs in comparison
with low-income countries. The range of decrease in prices (compared
with the high and low income country average price) via the GLC price
was from 38.13% to 98.45%. Ciprofloxacin prices decreased primarily
because of the expiration of the patent (in many countries), and
similar effects are projected for ofloxacin once its patent expires.
The unit prices of PAS and kanamycin are projected to decrease further
to US$0.40 and US$0.11, respectively, in 2002 upon the introduction of
an additional manufacturer for each drug; and, the price of ofloxacin
should decrease (in a fashion similar to ciprofloxacin) to US$0.08 upon
the expiration of patent in 2002 (4).
Small differences between Web table 2 and Table 1 in Science Express
and in print are the result of rounding before and after the
calculations.
References and Notes
1. P. Suarez, personal communication (2000).
2. For the revised Model List of Essential Drugs, see WHO Tech. Rep. Ser. No. 895 (2000).
3. C. Dye, M. A. Espinal, C. Watt, C. Mbiaga, B. G. Williams, in press.
4. IDA Foundation, personal communication (2001).
5. World Bank, The World Development Report 1999/2000: Entering the 21st Century: The Changing Development Landscape
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2000). Countries classified as high income
or high-middle income are represented as "high-income countries."
Countries classified as low income or low-middle income are represented
as "low-income countries."
6. The authors would like to thank K. Mate for his assistance in the data analysis.
Supplemental Figure 1. Cost composition of treatment
regimens. The drug-by-drug cost for each of the drugs used in a
treatment regimen for MDR-TB patients with resistance to two (A), four (B), or six (C)
drugs. Ofloxacin is the single greatest contributor to the cost for all
three regimens, both in terms of the reference price and the GLC price.
Figure 1A

Medium version | Full size version
Figure 1B

Medium version | Full size version
Figure 1C

Medium version | Full size version
| Supplemental Table 1. Treatment regimen key for Fig. 1 in print. |
| Drug | Daily dose | Duration of treatment (in months) |
| Treatment regimen for HR | Streptomycin | 1 g | 3 |
| Ethionamide | 750 mg | 21 |
| Pyrazinamide | 1600 mg | 3 |
| Ofloxacin | 800 mg | 21 |
| Ethambutol | 1200 mg | 21 |
| Treatment regimen for HRES | Kanamycin | 1 g | 3 |
| Ethionamide | 750 mg | 21 |
| Pyrazinamide | 1600 mg | 3 |
| Ofloxacin | 800 mg | 21 |
| Cycloserine | 750 mg | 21 |
| Treatment regimen for HRESZK | Capreomycin | 1 g | 3 |
| Ethionamide | 750 mg | 21 |
| PAS | 12 g | 21 |
| Ofloxacin | 800 mg | 21 |
| Cycloserine | 750 mg | 21 |
| Supplemental Table 2.
Pricing structure for second-line drugs in various countries and
settings. These data were obtained from those countries participating
in the World Health Organization/International Union Against
Tuberculosis and Lung Disease Global Drug Resistance Surveillance
Project that provided responses to a questionnaire. Empty boxes
indicate that countries did not purchase those drugs. All Green Light
Committee unit prices are inclusive of a procurement fee of less than
6% of the unit price. Countries were divided into high income and low
income status based on standard World Bank criteria (5).
Countries falling into "high-income" and "high-middle-income"
categories were classified as "high-income" countries. Countries
falling into "low-income" and "low-middle income" were classified as
"low-income" countries. It is noted that ofloxacin was purchased from
generic manufacturers in Korea at a unit price of US$0.05 and in
Thailand at US$0.25. Countries reporting that they do not purchase
second-line drugs were excluded from the analysis. Percentages vary
between this table and Table 1 in Science Express and in print because
of rounding of data before and after the calculation.
[see separate file] |
| Drug unit price |
| Country | Capreomycin | Cycloserine | PAS | Ethionamide | Prothionamide | Amikacin | Kanamycin | Ciprofloxacin | Ofloxacin |
| USA (Boston) | 25.04 | 8.42 | 2.5 | 7.05 | | 16.61 | 6.38 | 8.91 | 8.54 |
| Canada (Alberta) | 17.50 | 1.75 | | 0.70 | | | | | |
| Hong Kong | | 4.49 | | 0.32 | 6.79 | 0.77 | 1.10 | 0.82 |
| South Africa | | | 0.14 | | 3.45 | 0.71 | 0.73 | 0.53 |
| Chile | | 3.80 | 1.20 | | | 2.18 | 0.10 | |
| Estonia | 13 | 1.10 | | 0.26 | 0.35 | 2.97 | 0.4 | | 0.50 |
| Uruguay | | | 0.14 | | | | | |
| Oman | 29.12 | 3.71 | | 3.38 | 1.64 | | | | 2.59 |
| Korea | | 0.40 | | 0.1 | | 0.30 | | |
| Latvia | 12 | 1.40 | 5 | | 0.16 | | 0.40 | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| Peru | | | | 0.34 | | | 1.56 | 0.12 | |
| Thailand | | | | | | | 0.25 | | |
| Morocco | | | | 0.18 | | | 1.36 | | 0.89 |
| Slovakia | 12 | 1.60 | | | | 5.76 | | 0.8 | 0.24 |
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| Capreomycin | Cycloserine | PAS | Ethionamide | Prothionamide | Amikacin | Kanamycin | Ciprofloxacin | Ofloxacin |
| High-income country,
average price | 21.17 | 3.38 | 2.50 | 1.84 | 0.60 | 7.46 | 1.79 | 2.71 | 2.60 |
| Low-income country,
average price | 12.00 | 1.50 | 5.00 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 5.75 | 0.89 | 0.53 | 0.60 |
| Green Light Committee
(GLC) price | 1.02 | 0.14 | 1.51 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.36 | 0.06 | 0.33 |
| Difference: high-income
average versus GLC price | 95.20% | 95.92% | 39.52% | 94.62% | 83.57% | 98.52% | 80.06% | 97.79% | 87.25% |
| Difference: low-income
average versus GLC price | 91.54% | 90.80% | 69.76% | 61.92% | 38.13% | 98.09% | 60.00% | 88.68% | 45.14% |
Volume 293,
Number 5532,
Issue of 10 Aug 2001,
p. 1049.
Copyright © 2005 by The American Association for the Advancement of Science. All rights reserved.
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